… that I posted last week: it was an hour long, so I know many readers didn’t have the time to watch it.
Thanks to CDR Salamander, we find a shortened, 12-minute video from Mr. Zeihan, looking at the Ukraine war and its implications for Russia, today and in the future. It distills the essence of last week’s video into a compact discussion, making it more accessible. I highly recommend watching it, even if you watched last week’s longer video. There’s some additional material in this one that makes it very interesting – for example, current Russian emigration patterns since the start of the war.
The short-and-sweet summary is, Russia is caught between a demographic rock and a geopolitical hard place. It has to win in Ukraine, or decline into irrelevance as a former superpower – probably to become little more than a Chinese vassal state, in due course losing its eastern provinces, including Siberia, to that nation.
Unfortunately, that means Russia probably won’t be giving up and withdrawing from Ukraine, because it can’t afford to do that. This conflict may drag on for years.