“Excess deaths” in Europe?


I’m obliged to Vox Day for finding a very interesting (and scary) European blog post, citing objective sources, reporting a significant rise in so-called “excess deaths” (i.e. those that are above the statistical and demographic norm) in that continent.  To make matters even more interesting, when I tried to go to that blog, both that entry and the blog itself had completely vanished – sucked down the memory-hole of the Internet.  Curiouser and curiouser!

Fortunately, there’s the Web archive, which retains copies of many interesting things that others would prefer should be forgotten:  and several people archived the original article, so we can still read it and consult its sources.

For a while now, we’ve had a mysterious jump in excess mortality in Europe. At first, nobody really paid any attention to it, with the exception of a handful of “right-wing populist anti-science conspiracy theorists”. At this point however, experts whose job it is to study trends like this are beginning to notice it too.

You can see for yourself the excess mortality for much of the EU here. Few people realize that in 2021 we have had as much excess mortality, as we did in 2020. The difference is that the age profile has shifted: Whereas most of the excess mortality was in elderly people in 2020, in 2021 it’s increasingly showing up among younger people. The excess mortality has a peculiar characteristic, in that it starts showing up later in younger age groups, with the exception of children, in whom no excess mortality is observed.

For the 29 participating countries as a whole, we have 4000 excess deaths among people aged 15-44. These deaths are hard to explain, because young people normally don’t die from COVID-19. Just 0.9% of COVID-19 deaths in the Netherlands are people under the age of fifty. The curve of excess mortality in this age category also doesn’t fit COVID-19. This is a seasonal virus that disappear in the summer, but the excess deaths among young people mainly show up during the summer.

The problem with all of this excess mortality is that it doesn’t seem to be getting better, it seems to be getting worse. It’s now getting so bad, that even my own comparatively small country of 17 million, the Netherlands, is beginning to see the signal in its statistics. The Dutch demographic agency, the CBS, has reported that September was a month with significant excess mortality.

What we notice in the most recent week, is that the mortality is most strongly elevated among the younger age groups. Last week we had 300 more deaths than we’re supposed to have. Twenty of those are COVID-19 deaths, the rest are mysterious and unexplained.

There’s more at the link.

Vox’s conclusion is that the deaths are probably related to the various COVID-19 vaccines.  Of course, one can’t prove that from the raw numbers:  but remember the well-known principle known as Occam’s razor.

Occam’s razor (also known as the ‘law of parsimony’) is a philosophical tool for ‘shaving off’ unlikely explanations. Essentially, when faced with competing explanations for the same phenomenon, the simplest is likely the correct one.

In the absence of any other explanation, it’s a logical conclusion to look for (a) common factor(s) affecting all European populations at this time.  The only one that springs to mind is the enormous pressure to vaccinate everybody against COVID-19.  Given that well over half the European population is said to have been vaccinated over the past nine months, one can’t help but ask whether that isn’t the likeliest explanation for the sudden increase in excess deaths.

Given the vast number of reported incidents and problems that are suspected to be at least potentially associated with COVID-19 vaccines (well over half a million in the USA to date, and a significant number in the European Union as well), and applying Occam’s razor . . . one wonders.

Draw your own conclusions.  In the absence of any other explanation, and given the overwhelming official pressure to “shut up, stop asking awkward questions, and get vaccinated!” . . . I’ve drawn mine.



  1. Obviously the answer to this curious trend would be apparent simply by knowing cause of death in these numbers.
    Sadly I suspect that data will be incredibly difficult to determine with any degree of accuracy. There is simply too much political advantage to the respective governments for them to not manipulate both population reports and cause of death information.
    First thing I would look at is the rate of suicide, that possibly correlating with the incredible pressures put on general mental health by the draconian masking and lockdown regulations imposed on the populace.

  2. I would also look at drug overdose numbers. I know those are soaring here in the states, and we aren't (for the most part) as locked down as in most of Europe.

  3. A coworker died from the Kung Flu a year or so ago. The local obits conveniently neglected to mention that he had advanced COPD and in fact had been out of work for several years on long-term disability because of it.

    Pretty grimy if you ask me.

  4. One of the hallmarks of Covid has been that the average age of death has been older than the previous average age of death. It really is removing the oldest and sickest of them all.

    With the obvious proviso that this is an average and "a man can drown in a river with an average depth of three inches". A close friend just lost his son in law, age 48, to it. Friend himself, who is 75, had it and wasn't even hospitalized.

    I'd lean strongly to expecting it to be suicides and drug overdose, as both of those are up here in the US. Those are said to be mostly due to the social isolation and shutdowns.

  5. here in the u.s. they blame the delta variant. yeah, right. my sister in law, otherwise healthy, has been sick since being forced to get the jab. unexplained fevers/ body aches/etc etc. i know 3 young men that suddenly came down with peri/myo carditis. one died, one got a pacemaker, one needs a transplant. at 28/30 years old, post jab. of course, dumbasses for getting it at their age, but the govt shouldn't be killing our citizens even if they're stupid.

  6. From what I've read before, health care and normal life in Europe is closer to the edge, with tighter margins, than it is in the US.
    With tighter lockdowns, not only would there have been more stress from lack of social connections and income, there would have been less healthcare available, both for ordinary problems and psychological/ therapy issues.
    I wouldn't be surprised to see a dip in life expectancy in Europe after this…

  7. " Pay no attention to the sea water coming through the seams of the hull plates…the Titanic is simply unsinkable!"

  8. And how many of those are chronic, progressive diseases that were not even seen during the total diversion of time and resources to COVID?
    Cancer, cardiovascular, etc. maybe not all, but ?

  9. There have also been clearly established delays in seeking care, obtaining work ups, etc. for other health concerns that potentially lead to late care and higher mortality.
    In addition to the mental health impacts, the influence of general stress, etc.

    As Uncle Lar alluded, without further details, it will be difficult to impossible to determine the most significant underlying causes for the excess mortality — if/how much vaccine vs other causes as outlined in comments.

  10. I mean if you categorize them the same way they do Rona deaths or hospitalizations, anyone with the jab in their system is a vaccine death. Coworker of mine is in the hospital for surgery, was negative before surgery, tested positive after, and is now listed as a Rona hospitalization even though he has no symptoms at all. And they're not treating him any different than anyone else, so we're not sure if he actually has it or if he 'has it' so the hospital gets the extra money

    1. Well here's Uncle Krusty's Razor: when faced w several possible explanations always assume IT'S THE ONE THAT OFFERS THE MOST $^#^@ MONEY

  11. These deaths could actually be corona. We are seeing some younger patients this wave than in the original wave, so delta may be harder on the young than alpha was. And covid does cause blood clots. Lost a guy just last week that way. I thought he was doing fairly well, when suddenly he developed a huge clot in his lung and died 2 days later.

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