President Trump has claimed that violent crime rates in numerous Democrat-controlled cities are getting worse, and has offered to provide federal law enforcement personnel to help with the problem. Most cities have rejected his claims and his offer, insisting that things are either not as bad as he says, or are in fact getting better.
The mainstream media are downplaying the President’s claims, too. As an example, the BBC reports:
President Trump has said the crime rate in certain cities such as New York is “through the roof”.
But in many major US cities, including Chicago and New York, violent crime overall is down compared with the same time last year.
Various cities define violent crime in slightly different ways, but it usually includes murder, robbery, assault and rape.
Individual years can fluctuate but violent crime across America has been on a downward trend since the 1990s.
In April and May, violent crime in many US cities declined significantly compared with previous years, due in part to coronavirus lockdown measures.
But President Trump has pointed to a string of murders in certain cities, and homicides in contrast have increased sharply in some areas.
There’s more at the link.
The trouble is, all those news reports don’t take a major problem into account – namely, the deliberate efforts by many metropolitan police departments, at the urging of their political bosses, to disguise the true crime rate by falsifying the figures. We’ve discussed that in these pages on several occasions. Two recent examples:
Having worked with law enforcement professionals for some years during my service as a prison chaplain, I remain in contact with a number of them. They all, without exception, tell me that things are actually getting worse, not better, despite claims that the rate of many crimes is going down. They universally blame interference from city and state politicians, who want to reassure voters that they’re “taking care of business” and that they should therefore be re-elected.
I wish we could get politics out of the picture, and just provide accurate data so that everyone concerned could make up their own minds. Sadly, that’s not about to happen. Even so, when we meet this sort of disagreement and conflict over statistics, it’s important to ask whether the statistics themselves are trustworthy. Overwhelmingly, the evidence suggests that they’re not – and therefore any claims made by politicians that “Things are getting better!” on the crime front are not worth a fig. That applies particularly during times of urban unrest, protest and riot such as we’re presently experiencing.
I can only suggest that we arm, train and prepare ourselves accordingly.